Today, we believe that the Chicago Cubs will interrupt a series of 8 losses in a row. It should be noted that against stronger teams such as the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs. Jesús Luzardo will take over the position of starter of Miami. His position is mostly reliever and he is rather worse pitcher. Percentage success according to “Optimus software” = 87%.
Common Misconceptions About Sports Betting Analytics
“Trust me, this system hits at 85% – I’ve back-tested it myself.” I cringe every time I hear statements like this. And I hear them a lot. During a recent sports analytics conference, a well-dressed gentleman approached me after my presentation. He pulled out his phone and proudly showed me a spreadsheet tracking his “foolproof” […]
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Risk vs. Reward: Finding Your Optimal Sports Investment Strategy
A question I get asked almost weekly: “What’s your best bet for this weekend?” It seems like a straightforward question, but after 20+ years in this industry, I’ve learned it’s the wrong one to ask. The far better question – one that few people consider – is: “Which betting approach best matches my personal risk […]
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Why Most Sports Bettors Fail: The Cognitive Biases Holding You Back
I had an interesting conversation with a potential client last week. Successful guy, runs his own business, clearly intelligent. He’d been betting on sports for years and was proud of his “system” – betting against public favorites in big games. “The public is always wrong,” he insisted. “Fade the popular teams and you’ll make money.” […]
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